The economic clock for property and construction
The government is responsible for fiscal policy, that is, raising taxes and distributing them, whilst The Bank of England is responsible for monitory policy, that is, independently setting interest rates to keep inflation under control. The BoE does this in response, and in anticipation, to what is occurring in the market and what impact the fiscal policy will have. The peaks and troughs of interest rates are identifiable as the figures are announced. Knowing where we are on the interest rate cycle can provide an insight into what is likely to happen in the marketplace. This diagram in some research from New Zealand shows what occurs before and after the peaks and troughs of interest rates for the property and construction sector. https://www.researchgate.net/figure/The-Economic-Clock-Source-RCP_fig8_287513260
If you would like some help preparing your business for the next part of the cycle, please contact me. Peter.Searle@ba4cs.co.uk
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